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misinterpret_patreon_data [2019/02/20 15:01] – Carlos Pedraza | misinterpret_patreon_data [2019/02/23 13:27] (current) – [Projections] Carlos Pedraza | ||
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- | |{{https:// | + | ====== Misinterpreting Patreon Data ====== |
- | | | | + | |
- | | + | **//Axanar Blogger Cherry Picks Data to Discredit AxaMonitor Coverage// |
- | * **Logical fallacy**: Such reasoning, of course, is illogical. The fallacy here is often referred to by the Latin phrase, // | + | |
+ | {{TOC}} | ||
+ | |||
+ | {{page> | ||
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+ | **Blogger Jonathan Lane** tries to [[https:// | ||
+ | |||
+ | {{https:// | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== Upward Spikes ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | Patreon donations spiked upwards after three such AxaMonitor articles, leading Lane to conclude that the articles were responsible for Axanar supporters stepping up. | ||
+ | |||
+ | * **Logical fallacy**: Such reasoning, of course, is illogical. The fallacy here is often referred to by the Latin phrase, // | ||
* **Other factors** | * **Other factors** | ||
- | |{{https:// | + | {{https:// |
- | | | | + | |
- | | | + | ==== Not sustainable ==== |
- | |**Not sustainable**: | + | Each sharp spike upward, however, is followed by a deep plunge in daily growth, happening again following Hertzler’s guest shot Monday night. |
- | |{{https:// | + | {{https:// |
- | | \\ **AxaMonitor’s projections haven’t changed**** **despite those occasional spikes. Our regression analysis has consistently projected about 275 patrons pledging about $2,500 a month, by April 1. \\ * **The real story Lane alleges** AxaMonitor has failed to cover is that the smaller warehouse "has always been a back-up plan if Alec doesn’t make it to $4, | + | |
- | * **Except, of course, we have reported** that. On [[: | + | |
- | \\ **The bottom line**: Lane continues to cherry-pick Patreon data instead of honestly analyzing all the available data, which clearly demonstrates Ares Studios faces serious trouble meeting its ambitious $4,000 a month goal. \\ | | + | |
- | | | + | ===== Projections ===== |
- | \\ | + | AxaMonitor’s projections haven’t changed despite those occasional spikes. Our regression analysis has consistently projected about 275 patrons pledging about $2,500 a month, by April 1. |
+ | * **The real story Lane alleges **AxaMonitor has failed to cover is that the smaller warehouse "has always been a back-up plan if Alec doesn’t make it to $4, | ||
+ | * **Except, of course, we have reported** | ||
+ | ===== The bottom line ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | Lane continues to cherry-pick Patreon data instead of honestly analyzing all the available data, which clearly demonstrates Ares Studios faces serious trouble meeting its ambitious $4,000 a month goal. {{: | ||
+ | |||
+ | <WRAP tip 75%> <wrap em> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ---- | ||
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+ | **Keywords** | ||
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+ | {{tag> | ||
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+ | \\ | ||